Mgr Demand Planning
Employment Type: Full-Time
YOUR TASKS AND RESPONSIBILITIESThe primary responsibilities of this role, Manager Demand Planning, are to: Improve the demand forecast;Own the demand planning process and accuracy of the forecast;Increase demand forecasting accuracy by removing forecast bias, utilizing robust analytics, while applying logic from brand, market, and customer trends;Review customer/item-level key forecast misses from prior periods, conduct root cause analytics, and enable methods for continuous improvement;Deliver forecast accuracy (FCA%), forecast volume error (FVE%), and forecast bias (FCB%) KPI’s to meet annual targets;Leverage internal exception reporting such as Repeating Bias and the integrated planning workbook to achieve these results;Maintain the aligned demand plan as a result of the monthly category;Demand review, and ensure a clean translation of the demand plan to the Finance Business Partner and General Manager for use in financial forecasting activities;Sustain customer projections for retail inventory builds and seasonal shipment / consumption plans;Manage statistical models to predict baseline demand trends for both POS and shipments, and drive model accuracy improvement;Create a shipment-based demand forecast at the customer/item and item / distribution center levels, and clearly communicate changes and key misses to product supply for context;Validate forecast risks & opportunities as managed by finance, and share with product supply to proactively risk-mitigate potential write-off or customer service issues before they occur;Manage the aligned demand plan to customer/SKU level forecasts through the field sales force, with assistance from Sales Strategy;Serve as demand forecasting expert for your brand(s), and generate key drivers and insights of demand forecasts within your portfolio at all relevant meetings (e.g. Category Demand Review and Category S&OP meetings);Provide guidance to the category General Managers related to the overall forecast, and any gaps versus financial targets.WHO YOU AREYour success will be driven by your demonstration of our LIFE values. More specifically related to this position, Bayer seeks an incumbent who possesses the following:Required Qualifications:Bachelor’s degree in business and / or supply chain specialization; Eight years of forecasting experience in packaged goods/consumer products industry;Strong working knowledge of demand planning industry best practices including predictive analytics, lean forecasting techniques, ship v consumption modelling, and demand sensing;A proven track record of being able to influence “up” without reliance on functional authority, leveraging facts and data;Competencies in statistical baseline modelling algorithms beyond traditional ARIMA;Experience working in a demand planning system that is able to integrate product, customer, and location hierarchies;An understanding of the differences in forecast approaches by top retail companies including Walmart, Target, Club Accounts, eCom, etc;A proven track record of proactively mitigating customer service or product obsolescence risk through partnership with other supply chain functions;Strong Excel skills including the following areas: pivot tables / graphs, slicers, regression analysis, database management, and related add-ins including think cell, empower;Exposure to data reporting applications such as Tableau or roiPE;Ability to manage complex projects, coordinate multiple critical initiatives, and move swiftly in order to achieve the objectives;Experience in understanding the drivers between the demand plan and financial targets, including drivers within these targets, and a set of risks & opportunities as provided by commercial to close this gap;Skills to contribute in a fact-based way in a cross-functional team environment where key stakeholders may have different points of view;Strong collaboration skills;Detail oriented, but also able to rationalize the aggregate outputs;Proven track record of forecast accuracy improvement in brands with gross sales greater than 10% of a total divisional portfolio.Preferred Qualifications:Master’s degree;APICS Certification;IBF CPF Certification.Country: United StatesState: New JerseyLocation: WhippanyReference Code: 68067Functional Area:Supply Chain ManagementEntry Level : Professional
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